Improving the Accuracy and Fairness of Pretrial Release Decisions: A Multi-Site Study of Risk Assessments Implemented in Four Counties, Indiana, 2015-2018 (ICPSR 37829)

Version Date: Feb 25, 2021 View help for published

Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s)
Evan M. Lowder, George Mason University; Bradley R. Ray, Wayne State University; Eric L. Grommon, Indiana University-Purdue University at Indianapolis

https://doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR37829.v1

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This study was a multi-site, quasi-experimental investigation of risk assessment-informed pretrial release decisions relative to decisions made without risk assessments. The study objectives were to investigate whether use of pretrial risk assessments: 1) improved risk management decisions relative to practice as usual; 2) improved the fairness of pretrial release decisions for racial minorities relative to practice as usual; and 3) revealed judge-level variation in pretrial release decisions. Secondary, administrative data were gathered from four counties in Indiana. Apart from risk assessment information, all data represent public records: court, jail and prison. Variables gathered from the data sources fall into three main categories: defendant variables, pretrial release decisions, and pretrial misconduct outcomes. Examples of specific variables include: booking and release dates, bond amounts, number and type of charges, and demographic information (age, sex and race).

Lowder, Evan M., Ray, Bradley R., and Grommon, Eric L. Improving the Accuracy and Fairness of Pretrial Release Decisions: A Multi-Site Study of Risk Assessments Implemented in Four Counties, Indiana, 2015-2018. Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2021-02-25. https://doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR37829.v1

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United States Department of Justice. Office of Justice Programs. National Institute of Justice (2018-R2-CX-0023)

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Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research
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2015-01-01 -- 2018-12-31
2019-01-01 -- 2019-12-31
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Risk assessments have emerged as a principal component of evidence-based reform efforts to increase the efficiency, consistency, and accuracy of pretrial release decisions. However, as an evidence-based strategy, risk assessments have proliferated rapidly in pretrial settings without strong evidence of their effectiveness in achieving these goals. Further, although risk assessments have the potential to reduce well-documented, pervasive racial disparities in pretrial case processing, whether risk assessments improve the fairness of pretrial release decisions relative to practice as usual remains to be seen. The overall goal was to assess differences in the accuracy and fairness of pretrial release decisions made with and without risk assessment information. In particular, the study objectives were to investigate whether use of pretrial risk assessments: 1) improved risk management decisions relative to practice as usual; 2) improved the fairness of pretrial release decisions for racial minorities relative to practice as usual; and 3) revealed judge-level variation in pretrial release decisions.

Administrative court and jail records were procured from four Indiana counties that piloted a risk assessment instrument (Indiana Risk Assessment System - Pretrial Assessment Tool (IRAS-PAT)) in 2016 to inform pretrial decision-making. Using a multiple nonequivalent comparison group design, defendants who received a pretrial risk assessment during the 1-year pilot period (Pilot condition; n = 2,631) were matched to two separate groups of pretrial defendants without risk assessments. The first comparison group consisted of pretrial defendants who were booked during the 1-year pilot period but did not receive a risk assessment (Pilot Comparison condition; n = 1,580). The second comparison group consisted of pretrial defendants who were booked during the 1-year period prior to the pilot period (Pre-Pilot Comparison condition; n = 3,185).

Across all three groups and four counties, participants represent unique individuals who were booked into each county's local jail between 2015 and 2017 and had formal charges filed in court. All participants had a case disposition by December 31st, 2018.

Pretrial defendants who were booked into jail in four Indiana counties during the study period.

Individuals

Not applicable.

None

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2021-02-25

2021-02-25 ICPSR data undergo a confidentiality review and are altered when necessary to limit the risk of disclosure. ICPSR also routinely creates ready-to-go data files along with setups in the major statistical software formats as well as standard codebooks to accompany the data. In addition to these procedures, ICPSR performed the following processing steps for this data collection:

  • Checked for undocumented or out-of-range codes.

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There are four sets of propensity score weights in this dataset. Propensity score weights should be applied according to each comparison (i.e., pilot vs. pilot comparison OR pilot vs. pre-pilot comparison). The data are designed to be subset by comparison group. There are two variables in the dataset for this purpose (SAMPLE_PILOT and SAMPLE_PREPILOT). Two-group propensity score weights were generated for comparisons using the SAMPLE variable. Three-group propensity score weights were generated for comparisons using the ADHERENCESAMPLE variable, designed for sensitivity analyses. Associated syntax for these weights can be found in the accompanying Syntax Documentation.

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