Estimating Human Trafficking into the United States [Phase I: Development of a Methodology] (ICPSR 20422)
This research project developed and fully documented a method to estimate the number of females and males trafficked for the purposes of sexual and labor exploitation from eight countries (Colombia, Ecuador, El Salvador, Guatemala, Mexico, Nicaragua, Peru, and Venezuela) into the United States at the Southwest border. The model utilizes only open source data. This research represents the first phase of a two-phase project and
- Provides a conceptual framework for identifying potential data sources to estimate the number of victims at different stages in trafficking
- Develops statistical models to estimate the number of males and females at risk of being trafficked for sexual and labor exploitation from the eight countries, and the number of males and females actually trafficked for sex and labor
- Incorporates into the estimation models the transit journey of trafficking victims from the eight countries to the southwest border of the United States
- Designs the estimation models such that they are highly flexible and modular so that they can evolve as the body of data expands
- Utilizes open source data as inputs to the statistical model, making the model accessible to anyone interested in using it
- Presents preliminary estimates that illustrate the use of the statistical methods
- Illuminates gaps in data sources.
The data included in this collection are the open source data which were primarily used in the models to estimate the number of males and females at risk of being trafficked.
Federally Prosecuted Commercial Sexual Exploitation of Children (CSEC) Cases, United States, 1998-2005 (ICPSR 26722)
To increase understanding of the prosecution of Commercial Sexual Exploitation of Children and Youth (CSEC) offenders, the Urban Institute, a non-partisan social and economic policy research organization, along with Polaris Project, an anti-human trafficking organization based in the United States and Japan, were awarded a cooperative agreement from the Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention (OJJDP) to conduct a 12-month study on CSEC in the United States. The purpose of this research was to conduct a national analysis of federal prosecutions of CSEC-related cases from 1998 through 2005, in order to answer the following four research questions:
- Is the United States enforcing existing federal laws related to CSEC?
- What are key features of successfully prosecuted CSEC cases? What factors predict convictions in cases? What factors predict sentence length?
- Have the U.S. courts increased penalties associated with sexual crimes against children?
- What, if any, are the effects of CSEC legislation on service providers who work with these victims?
The data collection includes three datasets: (Dataset 1) Base Cohort File with 7,696 cases for 50 variables, (Dataset 2) Commercial Sexual Exploitation of Children (CSEC) Defendants in cases filed in U.S. Court with 7,696 cases for 100 variables, and (Dataset 3) Suspects in Criminal Matters Investigated and Concluded by U.S. Attorneys Dataset with 13,819 cases for 14 variables.