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CBS News Federal Budget Deficit Poll, October 1990 (ICPSR 9614)

Released/updated on: 2009-07-20
Geographic coverage: United States
This survey focuses on issues related to difficulties encountered by the federal government in reaching agreement on a federal budget deficit reduction plan. Respondents indicated their approval or disapproval of President Bush's handling of both his presidency and the budget deficit, identified President Bush or Congress as being more to blame or equally to blame for the difficulties in dealing with the deficit, and specified whether Republicans or Democrats in Congress were more at fault or equally at fault in dealing with the deficit situation. Respondents were queried regarding their general knowledge of the problem, including how closely they had followed the difficulties with the budget, their perception of the difficulties as either a true crisis or a political machination, and their opinion of the House of Representatives' rejection of the deficit reduction compromise arrived at by the President and leaders of Congress. Regarding the House's rejection of the compromise, those surveyed indicated whether they would vote for their representative based on his/her vote on the compromise, and if they knew how their representative had voted. Respondents also reacted to Bush's shutting down of various government services rather than signing a bill to extend them another week and indicated whether they had been affected by the shutdown or if they anticipated being affected. In addition, respondents revealed their preference for a large across-the-board cut in all government programs and services or a federal budget deficit reduction plan, and speculated about whether Congress was likely to arrive at a plan that would be fair. Those surveyed also indicated whether they would be willing to comply with a series of measures to reduce the deficit, including paying an additional $100 to $500 a year in taxes, raising the charge for Medicare, raising the tax on beer, wine, liquor, and gasoline, limiting government health and education services, and raising taxes for people with incomes of over $100,000 a year. Respondents also evaluated the strength of Bush's leadership in trying to settle the budget, indicated whether or not they were registered to vote and if they would vote for the Republican or Democratic candidate in their district for the House of Representatives if that election were held today, commented on whether most congressmen have made decisions based on what is best for the country or what they think will insure re-election, and characterized the cause of difficulty in reaching a budget agreement as either disagreement over important issues or political bickering. Background information on respondents includes political alignment, employment of a household member by the federal government, income, education, age, race, sex, number of adults at home, and state/region of residence.
Curated

CBS News/New York Times Monthly Poll #1, October 1990 (ICPSR 9615)

Released/updated on: 2010-03-31
Geographic coverage: United States
Time period: 1990-10-08--1990-10-10
This data collection is part of a continuing series of monthly surveys that evaluate the Bush presidency and solicit opinions on a variety of political and social issues. Demographic information collected includes sex, age, race, education, family income, religion, ethnicity, political orientation, party preference, and voting behavior. Specific topics covered in this survey include foreign policy, the economy and the recession, the federal budget deficit, Dan Quayle, state election campaigns, voter registration status, party preference in the 1990 election for United States House of Representatives, likelihood of voting in the 1990 elections for Congress, and term limits for members of Congress. Other areas on which respondents' opinions were sought include the savings and loan crisis, whether the interests of the government and Congress were self-serving or beneficial to all, re-election of respondent's representative and members of Congress, Democratic vs. Republican control of the White House and House of Representatives, the Cold War, whether the Soviet Union and Germany were peace-loving or aggressive, Iraq's invasion of Kuwait and the response of the United States, female reporters in professional sports team locker rooms, and major league baseball. A series of items focusing on marriage included whether divorce or constant domestic arguments were more harmful to children, respondent's marital status, likelihood of remarriage if divorced, initiating party in divorce, divorce vs. keeping the marriage together, quality of communication and trust in marriage, and whether the respondent would marry the same person again.
Curated

CBS News/New York Times October Politics Survey, October 15-17, 1991 (ICPSR 9801)

Released/updated on: 2011-03-18
Geographic coverage: United States
Time period: 1991-10-15--1991-10-17
This survey focused on George Bush and the field of Democratic presidential candidates for the 1992 presidential election. Respondents were asked whether they approved of Bush's handling of the presidency, whether they would vote for Bush or for the Democratic nominee if the elections were held that day, and if there were any circumstances in which Bush supporters would change their votes to the Democratic candidate and vice versa. Respondents were also asked who they would like to see win the Democratic nomination, whether they were satisfied with the candidates, if the Democratic candidates had important differences, whether Mario Cuomo or Jesse Jackson should run for president in 1992, and whether the Democrats should nominate a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative. Those surveyed also considered whether a presidential candidate currently serving as governor could fulfill responsibilities to his or her home state and still run for president, whether marital infidelity, exaggerated war records, or homosexuality on the part of a candidate would influence the respondent to vote for someone else, whether Bush would be re-elected, and whether foreign policy or domestic issues would matter more in deciding how to vote. The survey posed additional questions, including whether Bush or a Democratic president would be more likely to do a better job of handling foreign policy and the economy, reducing the deficit, raise taxes, improving education, improving race relations, and improving health care, whether Bush or a Democratic president would be more likely to raise taxes, whether it would be preferable to have a candidate whose political experience was mostly outside Washington, whether most candidates for public office are financially corrupt and run because they want power and prestige, if a presidential candidate's opposition to the Persian Gulf War would influence the respondent's vote, whether the respondent would vote for a generally well-qualified Black presidential candidate if nominated by his or her party, and whether most White Americans would vote for a generally well-qualified Black presidential candidate if nominated by their party. Other questions involved the confirmation of Clarence Thomas to the Supreme Court and the Senate hearings on Anita Hill's sexual harassment charges against Thomas, limited terms for members of Congress, romantic relationships between men and women, and televised sports events.
Curated

Dynamic Analysis of the Role of War Chests in Campaign Strategy (ICPSR 1121)

Released/updated on: 2002-01-14
Geographic coverage: United States
Three hundred ninety-seven United States House of Representatives races in which an incumbent ran for reelection in 1990 are examined. Using repeated measures analysis of variance and duration analysis with time-varying covariates and temporally disaggregated war chest data, it is shown that war chests deter high-quality challengers from entering the race.
Curated

Legislative Professionalism and Incumbent Reelection: The Development of Institutional Boundaries (ICPSR 1227)

Released/updated on: 2000-12-08
Geographic coverage: United States
It is well established that legislators from highly professionalized bodies are more likely to win reelection than members of less professionalized legislatures. The authors of this article find that the effect of professionalization on incumbent electoral success is far more pervasive. As the level of professionalism of a legislature increases, members' relationships with the legislature's environment change: the effects of external political and economic forces (such as coattails from higher-level elections and national economic conditions) on a legislator's chances for reelection diminish in strength. This implies that legislative professionalization promotes institutionalization by establishing boundaries that insulate members from external shocks. The authors reach these conclusions by specifying and testing a district-level model of state legislative election outcomes having the probability that an incumbent will win reelection as a dependent variable. The model is estimated with probit using data for over 42,000 state legislators from 1970 to 1989.
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