AP VoteCast, Presidential Primaries, United States, 2024 (ICPSR 39139)
AP VoteCast is a survey of the American electorate conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago for The Associated Press and Fox News. The survey is funded by AP. In 2024, AP VoteCast covered presidential primary elections in three states across three election dates. For all three elections, interviews were conducted via phone and web. The surveys concluded when polls closed on Election Day: The Iowa Republican caucus on January 15, the New Hampshire Republican and Democratic primaries on January 23, and the South Carolina Republican primary on February 24. Respondents who completed the survey three days or more before Election Day (for example, January 8-12 for Iowa) were asked if they would be willing to be re-contacted for a follow-up survey. Those who consented were contacted during the final three days of the field period and re-asked their intent to vote and vote choice. The vote intent and vote choice provided in the re-contact survey were used for the final estimates. If a respondent did not complete the re-contact survey, their original intent to vote and vote choice responses were retained. Respondents were re-contacted using their preferred mode -- a call from a NORC interviewer or a text or email with a link to complete the short re-contact survey online.
AP VoteCast combines a random sample of registered voters drawn from state voter files with a sample of self-identified registered voters selected from nonprobability online panels. Interviews with the probability and nonprobability samples were conducted in English and Spanish. Participants in the probability sample selected from state voter files were contacted by phone and mail and had the opportunity to take the survey by phone or online. All interviews from nonprobability sample sources were completed online.
ANES 1996 Time Series Study (ICPSR 6896)
ANES 2004 Time Series and Panel Contextual File (ICPSR 4294)
The Simon Poll: Fall 2009 [Illinois Statewide] (ICPSR 100035)
ANES 2004 Time Series Study (ICPSR 4245)
ANES 1980 Merged File (ICPSR 35119)
ANES 1980 Major Panel Study (ICPSR 35120)
ANES 1980 Time Series Study (ICPSR 7763)
ANES 1988 Time Series Study (ICPSR 9196)
ANES 2008 Time Series Study (ICPSR 25383)
This study is part of the American National Election Study (ANES), a time-series collection of national surveys fielded continuously since 1952. The American National Election Studies are designed to present data on Americans' social backgrounds, enduring political predispositions, social and political values, perceptions and evaluations of groups and candidates, opinions on questions of public policy, and participation in political life. The 2008 ANES data consists of a time series study conducted both before and after the 2008 presidential election in the United States. It entailed both a pre-election interview and a post-election re-interview. A freshly drawn cross section of the electorate was taken, yielding 1,212 cases. Like its predecessors, the 2008 ANES was divided between questions necessary for tracking long-term trends and questions necessary to understand the particular political moment of 2008. The study maintains and extends the ANES time-series 'core' by collecting data on Americans' basic political beliefs, allegiances, and behaviors: aspects of political belief and action so basic to the understanding of politics that they are monitored at every election, no matter the nature of the specific campaign or the broader setting. The study also carried topical and study-specific instrumentation. Questions covering issues prominent in 2008 addressed job outsourcing, private investment of Social Security funds, and President Bush's tax cut. Americans' views on foreign policy, the war on terrorism, and the Iraq War and its consequences were also addressed. In addition, the study carried expanded instrumentation on inflation, immigration, gender politics, and gay and lesbian politics. It also extended the experiment on the measurement of voter turnout that began in 2002. Demographic variables include respondent age, education level, political affiliation, race/ethnicity, marital status, and family composition.
Additional information about the ANES time series collection can be found on the American National Election Study (ANES) Web site.
ANES 2008 Time Series Study (ICPSR 35154)
This study is part of the American National Election Study (ANES), a time-series collection of national surveys fielded continuously since 1952. The American National Election Studies are designed to present data on Americans' social backgrounds, enduring political predispositions, social and political values, perceptions and evaluations of groups and candidates, opinions on questions of public policy, and participation in political life. The 2008 ANES data consists of a time series study conducted both before and after the 2008 presidential election in the United States. It entailed both a pre-election interview and a post-election re-interview. A freshly drawn cross section of the electorate was taken, yielding 1,212 cases. Like its predecessors, the 2008 ANES was divided between questions necessary for tracking long-term trends and questions necessary to understand the particular political moment of 2008. The study maintains and extends the ANES time-series 'core' by collecting data on Americans' basic political beliefs, allegiances, and behaviors: aspects of political belief and action so basic to the understanding of politics that they are monitored at every election, no matter the nature of the specific campaign or the broader setting. The study also carried topical and study-specific instrumentation. Questions covering issues prominent in 2008 addressed job outsourcing, private investment of Social Security funds, and President Bush's tax cut. Americans' views on foreign policy, the war on terrorism, and the Iraq War and its consequences were also addressed. In addition, the study carried expanded instrumentation on inflation, immigration, gender politics, and gay and lesbian politics. It also extended the experiment on the measurement of voter turnout that began in 2002. Demographic variables include respondent age, education level, political affiliation, race/ethnicity, marital status, and family composition.
Additional information about the ANES time series collection can be found on the American National Election Study (ANES) Web site.
ANES 1988 Time Series Study (ICPSR 35132)
ANES 1980 Time Series Study (ICPSR 35121)
ANES 1988 Super Tuesday Study (ICPSR 35131)
ANES 1996 Time Series Study (ICPSR 35142)
Voter Research and Surveys Presidential Primary Exit Polls, 1992 (ICPSR 35195)
Voter News Service Presidential Primary Exit Polls, 2000 (ICPSR 35162)
National Election Pool Democratic Presidential Preference Primary Exit Polls, 2004 (ICPSR 35079)
These data are divided into state-level subsets. Please use the external link above and the search term "Democratic Presidential Primary Exit Polls 2004" to return results for a list of the data subsets. The results will be located in the "Studies/Datasets" tab.
The data were collected through face-to-face and telephone interviews conducted with voters in twenty-two states that held primaries and one state that held a caucus to choose the Democratic candidate for president of the United States. The candidates were Senator and former United States Ambassador Carol Moseley Braun, retired United States Army General Wesley Clark, New Hampshire Governor Howard Dean, Senator John Edwards, Senator Dick Gephardt, Senator John Kerry, United States Representative Dennis Kucinich, Senator Joe Lieberman, and Reverend Al Sharpton. Early and absentee voters were polled via the telephone during the week leading up to an individual state's primary. Election day voters were interviewed in person as they exited polling places on their state's primary days. Respondents were asked which candidate they voted for in the primary, when and why they decided on that candidate, and what one quality and one issue mattered most in choosing that candidate. They were polled on the candidates and the candidates' likelihood of defeating the incumbent, President George W. Bush. Also, they were asked whether they voted for the candidate who they thought had the best chance of defeating George W. Bush or the candidate they agreed with most on important issues, whether they had seen candidates' campaign ads and/or Web sites, and whether they were confident their vote would be counted accurately. Respondents were asked to assess the condition of the nation's economy, their personal financial situation compared to four years ago, their level of concern about another terrorist attack occurring in the United States, and the safety of the country as a result of military action in Iraq. Additional opinions were gathered concerning the Bush administration and its policies and decisions and United States Senator John McCain from Arizona. Further questions addressed topics such as whether the tax cuts implemented under the Bush administration should be adjusted or eliminated and whether respondents worried that someone in their household would lose their job. Background information on respondents includes age, education, frequency of religious service attendance, Hispanic descent, labor union membership status within the household, marital status, personal voting history, political ideology, political party affiliation, race, religious orientation, sex, sexual orientation, total household income in 2003, and whether anyone in the household had served in the military.
CBS News/New York Times National Poll, October #2, 2011 (ICPSR 34472)
CBS News/New York Times National Poll, October #1, 2011 (ICPSR 34471)
State Legislative Election Returns (1967-2010) (ICPSR 34297)
CBS News National Poll, November #1, 2011 (ICPSR 34474)
CBS News/New York Times Iowa Poll, November #3, 2011 (ICPSR 34476)
CBS News/60 Minutes/Vanity Fair National Poll, December #2, 2011 (ICPSR 34465)
CBS News Monthly Poll, August 2007 (ICPSR 22583)
CBS News/New York Times Poll of Southern and Border States, February-March 1988 (ICPSR 9103)
American National Election Studies (ANES) Panel Study, 2008-2009 (ICPSR 29182)
The 2008-2009 ANES Panel Study is a telephone-recruited Internet panel with two cohorts recruited using nearly identical methods. The first cohort was recruited in late 2007 using random-digit-dialing (RDD) methods common to telephone surveys. Prospective respondents were offered $10 per month to complete surveys on the Internet each month for 21 months, from January 2008 through September 2009. Those without a computer and Internet service were offered a free web appliance, MSN TV 2, and free Internet service for the duration of the study. The second cohort was recruited the same way in the summer of 2008 and asked to join the panel beginning in September 2008. The recruitment interview was conducted by telephone in nearly all cases. A small number of respondents completed the recruitment survey on the Internet after failing to complete a telephone interview. Before the first monthly survey, most respondents also completed an online profile survey consisting primarily of demographic questions.
To minimize panel attrition and conditioning effects, only 7 of the 21 monthly surveys are about politics. Other surveys are about a variety of non-political topics. The panelists answered political questions prepared by ANES in January, February, June, September, October, and November 2008. With certainty, the panel answered more political questions in May 2009.
Note that the 2008-2009 ANES Panel Study is entirely separate from the 2008 ANES Time Series study, which was conducted using the traditional ANES method of face-to-face interviews before and after the 2008 election. Although there are a few questions common to both studies, the samples and methods are different. For further details, see the User Guide. Complete documentation is available on the ANES Web site.