This study is provided by ICPSR. ICPSR provides leadership and training in data access, curation, and methods of analysis for a diverse and expanding social science research community.

Prospects for Peace, 1973-1977 (ICPSR 5803)

Principal Investigator(s): Clemens, Walter C. Jr.


This study contains data derived from a survey of 151 respondents from leading American universities' centers of international studies and some United States government officials and non-United States scholars on the likelihood of war and peace in the period 1972-1977. Respondents were asked questions about the probability of a nuclear or major conventional war breaking out, the forces most dangerous and most conducive to international peace and economic development, and the future of the United Nations (UN). Other questions were asked concerning respondents' opinions of the United States-Soviet military balance, the viability of the 1972 Strategic Arms Limitation Treaty (SALT) and the prospects for other arms control measures, the relationship of certain international events to the arms race, alternative scenarios for the future of Indochina, Middle East, and United States-Soviet relations, the probability of certain destabilizing political and ecological events occurring in Asia, Africa, and Latin America and the likely maximum United States' response to these events, the likely linkages between trade and political relations among the great powers, and the United States' position toward the UN. Most questions ask respondents to rate the relative probability of some events occurring within a four-year period on a scale of 1 to 5 and other questions ask respondents to select alternative future events considered most likely to have occurred by 1977.

Access Notes

  • Data in this collection are available only to users at ICPSR member institutions. Please log in so we can determine if you are with a member institution and have access to these data files.


Dataset - Download All Files (1.389 MB)
ASCII + SAS Setup    SPSS Setup   

Study Description


Clemens, Walter C., Jr. PROSPECTS FOR PEACE, 1973-1977. ICPSR version. Boston, MA: Boston University, Dept. of Political Science [producer], 197?. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 1998. https://doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR05803.v1

Persistent URL: https://doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR05803.v1

Export Citation:

  • RIS (generic format for RefWorks, EndNote, etc.)
  • EndNote XML (EndNote X4.0.1 or higher)

Scope of Study

Subject Terms:    arms control, arms race, Cold War, disarmament, foreign policy, international conflict, international relations, nuclear war, peace, political conflict, prediction, public opinion, strategic arms limitation talks, trends, war

Geographic Coverage:    United States, Global

Time Period:   

  • 1973--1977

Data Type(s):    survey data

Data Collection Notes:

The data map is provided as an ASCII text file, and the codebook is provided by ICPSR as a Portable Document Format (PDF) file. The PDF file format was developed by Adobe Systems Incorporated and can be accessed using PDF reader software, such as the Adobe Acrobat Reader. Information on how to obtain a copy of the Acrobat Reader is provided on the ICPSR Web site.


Sample:    A total of 151 respondents from leading American universities' centers of international studies and some United States government officials and non-United States scholars in the period 1972-1977.

Data Source:

mailback questionnaires and personal interviews


Original ICPSR Release:   1984-05-03

Related Publications



Metadata Exports

If you're looking for collection-level metadata rather than an individual metadata record, please visit our Metadata Records page.

Download Statistics