Economics, Issues, and the Perot Candidacy: Voter Choice in the 1992 Presidential Election (ICPSR 1112)
Version Date: Oct 7, 1999 View help for published
Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s)
R. Michael Alvarez;
Jonathan Nagler
https://doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR01112.v1
Version V1
Summary View help for Summary
This research was a multinomial probit analysis of 1992 National Election Studies data including individual-specific and alternative-specific variables. It consisted of simulations based on counterfactual scenarios of ideological positions of the candidates and of voter perceptions of the economy. Results of the study show that the economy was the dominant factor in accounting for voter decisions in 1992, and that Clinton, not Perot, was the beneficiary of economic discontent. Issues played an important role in this election, but Clinton was not perceived as a "New Democrat". The authors found little support for the hypothesis of angry voting. Also, they discovered that Perot took more votes from Bush than from Clinton.
Citation View help for Citation
Export Citation:
Subject Terms View help for Subject Terms
Geographic Coverage View help for Geographic Coverage
Distributor(s) View help for Distributor(s)
Original Release Date View help for Original Release Date
1996-01-04
Version History View help for Version History
- Alvarez, R. Michael, and Jonathan Nagler. Economics, Issues, and the Perot Candidacy: Voter Choice in the 1992 Presidential Election. ICPSR01112-v1. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 1996-01-04. http://doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR01112.v1
1999-10-07 In preparing the dataset for replication, an error was found in the construction of the original data used in the article. Corrected data were submitted. The new files are alvar95.tar and alvar95.zip, the old files are alvar95.oldtar and alvar95.old.zip.
Notes
These data are flagged as replication datasets and are distributed exactly as they arrived from the data depositor. ICPSR has not checked or processed this material. Users should consult the investigator(s) if further information is desired.
The public-use data files in this collection are available for access by the general public. Access does not require affiliation with an ICPSR member institution.