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Projections of the Population of States by Age, Sex, and Race [United States]: 1988 to 2010 (ICPSR 9270)

Principal Investigator(s): United States Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census


This dataset provides annual population projections for the 50 states and the District of Columbia by age, sex, and race for the years 1986 through 2010. The projections were made using a mathematical projection model called the cohort-component method. This method allows separate assumptions to be made for each of the components of population change: births, deaths, internal migration, and international migration. The projections are consistent with the July 1, 1986 population estimates for states. In general, the projections assume a slight increase in the national levels of fertility, an increasing level of life expectancy, and a decreasing level of net international migration. Internal migration assumptions are based on the annual state-to-state migration data for the years 1975-1986.

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Study Description


United States Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. Projections of the Population of States by Age, Sex, and Race [United States]: 1988 to 2010. ICPSR09270-v1. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 1989. https://doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR09270.v1

Persistent URL: https://doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR09270.v1

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Scope of Study

Subject Terms:    population characteristics, population dynamics, population projections

Geographic Coverage:    United States

Time Period:   

  • 1986--2010

Universe:    The resident population of the 50 states and the District of Columbia.

Data Type(s):    aggregate data

Data Collection Notes:

Data are included for the years 1986 and 1987 as well as 1988-2010. Figures for 1986 are estimates, while those for 1987 and succeeding years are projections.



Original ICPSR Release:   1989-12-15


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