Budget Balances (Deficits and Surpluses) for 54 Middle Income Countries From 1976-2007

Principal Investigator(s): Hall, Michael G., Wichita State University. Political Science Department

Summary: This study examines whether opportunistic and partisan business cycles influence fiscal policy in 54 developing countries when controlling for de facto exchange rate regimes and capital mobility. With most exchange rate regimes, leftist parties are more likely to engage in expansionary fiscal policy, but are less likely to do so as capital mobility rises. With a rigidly fixed rate, however, leftist parties engage in more fiscal expansion with higher capital mobility. Unless an exchange rate is ... (more info)

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Hall, Michael G. Budget Balances (Deficits and Surpluses) for 54 Middle Income Countries From 1976-2007. ICPSR29341-v1. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2010-09-27. doi:10.3886/ICPSR29341.v1

Persistent URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR29341.v1

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This survey was funded by:

Wichita State University. Office of Research Administration (U10105)

Summary: This study examines whether opportunistic and partisan business cycles influence fiscal policy in 54 developing countries when controlling for de facto exchange rate regimes and capital mobility. With most exchange rate regimes, leftist parties are more likely to engage in expansionary fiscal policy, but are less likely to do so as capital mobility rises. With a rigidly fixed rate, however, leftist parties engage in more fiscal expansion with higher capital mobility. Unless an exchange rate is freely falling, an election is more likely to encourage fiscal expansion when capital mobility is high.

Subject Terms: business cycles, exchange rates, fiscal policy

Geographic Coverage: Africa, Asia, Central America, Global, South America

Time Period:

1976--2007

Date of Collection:

2009-05--2009-08

Universe: Middle-income developing countries from1976-2007.

Data Types: administrative records data

Data Collection Notes:

A zipped package contains a syntax and system file (in Excel and Stata format), which includes the data, tables, and figures needed to replicate the results of the study.

These data are part of ICPSR's Publication-Related Archive and are distributed exactly as they arrived from the data depositor. ICPSR has not checked or processed this material. Users should consult the investigators if further information is desired.

Sample: Henisz, Witold J. (2000) "The Institutional Environment for Multinational Investment," Journal of Law, Economics and Organization 16(2),334-364. International Monetary Fund (various years) Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund. International Monetary Fund (various years) International Financial Statistics. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund. Marshall, Monty and Keith Jaggers (2005) Polity IV Project. Arlington, VA: George Mason University. Reinhart, Carmen, and Kenneth Rogoff (2004) "The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements: A Reinterpretation" Quarterly Journal of Economics 119(1), 1-48. Available at http://www.wam.umd.edu/~creinhar/Papers.html. World Bank (various years) Database of Political Indicators. Washington, DC: World Bank. World Bank (various years) World Development Indicators. Washington, DC: World Bank.

Mode of Data Collection: record abstracts

Original ICPSR Release: 2010-09-27

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