This study is provided by ICPSR. ICPSR provides leadership and training in data access, curation, and methods of analysis for a diverse and expanding social science research community.

Real Interest Rate Persistence: Evidence and Implications (ICPSR 24541)

Principal Investigator(s):


The real interest rate plays a central role in many important financial and macroeconomic models, including the consumption-based asset pricing model, neoclassical growth model, and models of the monetary transmission mechanism. The authors selectively survey the empirical literature that examines the time-series properties of real interest rates. A key stylized fact is that postwar real interest rates exhibit substantial persistence, shown by extended periods when the real interest rate is substantially above or below the sample mean. The finding of persistence in real interest rates is pervasive, appearing in a variety of guises in the literature. The authors discuss the implications of persistence for theoretical models, illustrate existing findings with updated data, and highlight areas for future research.

Access Notes

  • These data are flagged as replication datasets and are distributed exactly as they arrived from the data depositor. ICPSR has not checked or processed this material. Users should consult the investigator(s) if further information is desired.

  • These data are available to the general public.


Dataset - Download All Files (0.1 MB)

Study Description


Neely, Christopher J., and David E. Rapach. Real Interest Rate Persistence: Evidence and Implications. ICPSR24541-v1. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2009-01-26. http://doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR24541.v1

Persistent URL:

Export Citation:

  • RIS (generic format for RefWorks, EndNote, etc.)
  • EndNote XML (EndNote X4.0.1 or higher)


This study was funded by:

  • Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Research Division

Scope of Study

Subject Terms:   consumer price index, consumption, economic activity, economic forecasting, economic indicators, economic models, economic policy, economic trends, financial policy, Gross National Product, inflation, inflation rates, interest rates, macroeconomics

Geographic Coverage:   United States

Data Collection Notes:

A zipped package contains a readme file, several programming syntax files, and two ASCII data files (all in text format) corresponding to the tables and figures used in the article.

These data are part of ICPSR's Publication-Related Archive and are distributed exactly as they arrived from the data depositor. ICPSR has not checked or processed this material. Users should consult the investigators if further information is desired.



Original ICPSR Release:  

Related Publications (?)


Metadata Exports

If you're looking for collection-level metadata rather than an individual metadata record, please visit our Metadata Records page.

Download Statistics