Comparing Manufacturing Export Growth Across States: What Accounts for the Differences?

Principal Investigator(s): Coughlin, Cletus C., Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Pollard, Patricia S., Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Summary: The expansion of United States manufacturing exports has spread unevenly across states. The authors use shift-share analysis to account for the difference between a state's manufacturing export growth and national manufacturing export growth between 1988 and 1998. Three effects are examined. The industry mix effect indicates that a state should have experienced export growth above the national average if its exports were relatively more concentrated in industries whose exports expand... (more info)

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Coughlin, Cletus C., and Patricia S. Pollard. Comparing Manufacturing Export Growth Across States: What Accounts for the Differences?. ICPSR01234-v1. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2001-04-02. doi:10.3886/ICPSR01234.v1

Persistent URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR01234.v1

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Summary: The expansion of United States manufacturing exports has spread unevenly across states. The authors use shift-share analysis to account for the difference between a state's manufacturing export growth and national manufacturing export growth between 1988 and 1998. Three effects are examined. The industry mix effect indicates that a state should have experienced export growth above the national average if its exports were relatively more concentrated in industries whose exports expanded faster than the national average. The destination effect indicates that a state should have experienced export growth above the national average if its exports were concentrated in foreign markets whose purchases from the United States expanded faster than the national increase in exports. The competitive effect is what remains after accounting for these two effects. The authors find that the competitive effect, which in previous research was related to increases in human capital per worker, is the key determinant of a state's relative export performance. Furthermore, the industry mix and destination effects, which are of similar importance, are generally dominated by the competitive effect in accounting for a state's relative export performance.

Subject Terms: economic growth, exports, manufacturing industry, states (USA)

Geographic Coverage: United States

Data Collection Notes:

(1) The files submitted are the data file, 0101ccd.txt, and the program file, 0101ccp.txt. (2) These data are part of ICPSR's Publication-Related Archive and are distributed exactly as they arrived from the data depositor. ICPSR has not checked or processed this material. Users should consult the investigators if further information is desired.

Original ICPSR Release: 2001-04-02

2001

Coughlin, Cletus C., Pollard, Patricia S. Comparing manufacturing export growth across states: What accounts for the differences?. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review. 83, (1), 25-40.

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