Seasonal Production Smoothing (ICPSR 1211)

Principal Investigator(s): Allen, Donald S., Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Summary: In this research, the author looked for and found evidence of seasonal production smoothing in 15 out of 25 manufacturing series and 8 out of 10 retail series, using de-trended seasonally unadjusted data. The equivalent tests using seasonally adjusted data were negative for all 35 series. The results suggest that seasonally adjusted data obscure short-term production smoothing. (more info)

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Allen, Donald S. Seasonal Production Smoothing. ICPSR01211-v1. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2000-01-08. doi:10.3886/ICPSR01211.v1

Persistent URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR01211.v1

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Summary:   In this research, the author looked for and found evidence of seasonal production smoothing in 15 out of 25 manufacturing series and 8 out of 10 retail series, using de-trended seasonally unadjusted data. The equivalent tests using seasonally adjusted data were negative for all 35 series. The results suggest that seasonally adjusted data obscure short-term production smoothing.

Subject Terms:   manufacturing industry, retail industry

Geographic Coverage:   United States

Data Collection Notes:

(1) The files submitted are 9909da.prg, a program file, and 9909da.xls, Excel tables. (2) These data are part of ICPSR's Publication-Related Archive and are distributed exactly as they arrived from the data depositor. ICPSR has not checked or processed this material. Users should consult the investigator(s) if further information is desired.

Original ICPSR Release:  2000-01-18

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