The Timeline of Presidential Election Campaigns

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Principal Investigator(s): Wlezien, Christopher; Erikson, Robert S.

Summary: The research addresses the evolution of electoral sentiment over the campaign cycle. The researchers translate general arguments about the role of election campaigns into a set of formal, statistical expectations, then outline an empirical analysis and examine trial-heat poll results for the 15 United States presidential elections between 1944 and 2000. The analysis focuses specifically on two questions. First, to what extent does the observable variation in aggregate poll results represe... (view full summary)

Persistent URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR01304.v1

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