What are the odds? Option-based forecasts of FOMC target changes

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The following citation is from the ICPSR Bibliography of Data-related Literature:

Emmons, William R.Lakdawala, Aeimit K.Neely, Christopher J. Nov/Dec 2006. What are the odds? Option-based forecasts of FOMC target changes. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review. 88, (6), 543-561.

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