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Description & Citation--Study No. 6355

Bibliographic Description

ICPSR Study No.:6355
 
Persistent URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR06355
 
Title:Escalation of Great Power Disputes: Deterrence Versus Structural Realism, 1816-1984
 
Principal Investigator(s):Paul Huth
 
  Christopher Gelpi
 
  D. Scott Bennett
 
Funding Agency:National Science Foundation.
 
Grant Number:SES 9023067
 
Bibliographic Citation:Huth, Paul, Christopher Gelpi, and D. Scott Bennett. ESCALATION OF GREAT POWER DISPUTES: DETERRENCE VERSUS STRUCTURAL REALISM, 1816-1984 [Computer file]. ICPSR06355-v1. Ann Arbor, MI: Paul Huth, Christopher Gelpi, and D. Scott Bennett, University of Michigan [producers], 1993. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 1995. doi:10.3886/ICPSR06355
 

Scope of Study

Summary:The purpose of this study was to test the relative explanatory power of two theoretical approaches--deterrence theory and structural realism--in predicting dispute escalation among "Great Powers" from 1816 to 1984. The Great Powers during this time period are identified as Great Britain, France, Russia/Soviet Union, Austria-Hungary, Prussia/Germany, Italy, the United States, Japan, and China. A Great Power deterrence encounter is defined as the explicit verbal threat of force or the movement and buildup of military forces in preparation for armed conflict by a challenging Great Power and a counterthreat by the defending Great Power. Variables measure dispute escalation, system uncertainty, risk propensity, balance of conventional military capabilities of challenger and defender, defender's possession of second-strike nuclear capability, interests at stake for challenger and defender, past behavior of challenger and defender, and current dispute involvement of challenger and defender. Part 2, Deterrence Variables Data, contains the complete set of variables, and Part 1, Deterrence Final Equation Data, is a subset of Part 2.
 
Subject Term(s):armed conflict, defense (military), deterreence, international conflict, military intervention, military strategies, military strength
 
Geographic Coverage:China, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Japan, Soviet Union, United States, Global
 
Time Period:1816 - 1984
 
Date(s) of Collection:1991 - 1992
 
Universe:Deterrence encounters involving Great Powers during the period 1816-1984.
 
Data Type:aggregate data
 
Data Collection Notes:Data for this study were extracted in part from CORRELATES OF WAR PROJECT: INTERNATIONAL AND CIVIL WAR DATA, 1816-1992 (ICPSR 9905) and POLITY DATA: PERSISTENCE AND CHANGE IN POLITICAL SYSTEMS, 1800-1971 (ICPSR 5010). For a more detailed description of the current dataset, users may consult the related publications listed below.
 

Methodology

Data Source:CORRELATES OF WAR PROJECT: INTERNATIONAL AND CIVIL WAR DATA, 1816-1992 (ICPSR 9905) and POLITY DATA: PERSISTENCE AND CHANGE IN POLITICAL SYSTEMS, 1800-1971 (ICPSR 5010)
 

Access and Availability

Note:A list of the data formats available for this study can be found in the summary of holdings. Detailed file-level information (such as record length, case count, and variable count) is listed in the file manifest.
 
Original ICPSR Release:1995-03-16
 
Version History:The last update of this study occurred on 2006-01-12.
 
  2006-01-12 - All files were removed from dataset 7 and flagged as study-level files, so that they will accompany all downloads.
 
Dataset(s):
  • DS1: Deterrence Final Equation Data
  • DS2: SAS Data Definition Statements for Deterrence Final Equation Data
  • DS3: SPSS Export File for Deterrence Final Equation Data
  • DS4: Deterrence Variables Data
  • DS5: SAS Data Definition Statements for Deterrence Variables Data
  • DS6: SPSS Export File for Deterrence Variables Data
 

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