<template name="americandream">
	<title>The American Dream at the Turn of the 21st Century</title>
	<dataset id="06820">ABC News Listening to America Poll, 1996</dataset>
	<dataset-id>06820</dataset-id>

	<discipline>Sociology</discipline>
	<subject>Sociology</subject>
	<subject>American Dream</subject>
	<subject>Social Mobility</subject>
	<atype>Crosstabulation</atype>
	<guidetype>Exploratory</guidetype>
	<citation>Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research. The American Dream at
		the Turn of the 21st Century: A Data-Driven Learning Guide. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university
		Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2010-12-10.
		Doi:10.3886/americandream</citation>

	<section id="a01">
		<title>Goal &amp; Concept</title>
		<p>
			<strong>Goal</strong>
		</p>
		<p>The goal of this exercise is to compare people's attitudes about the American Dream with
			their experiences of upward mobility at the turn of the 21st century. Crosstabulation
			will be used.</p>

		<p>
			<strong>Concept</strong>
		</p>
		<p>The ideology of the American Dream pervades US society and culture and, as such, has long
			been of interest to sociologists. The phrase "American Dream" was coined in 1931 by
			author James Truslow Adams, who defined it as "that dream of a land in which life should
			be better and richer and fuller for everyone, with opportunity for each according to
			ability or achievement ... It is not a dream of motor cars and high wages merely, but a
			dream of social order in which each man and each woman shall be able to attain to the
			fullest stature of which they are innately capable, and be recognized by others for what
			they are, regardless of the fortuitous circumstances of birth or position." The American
			Dream has come to signify both the hope and the promise of material prosperity and
			happiness, predicated on the deep-seated belief in the egalitarian philosophy that, with
			strenuous effort, anyone can improve one's economic and social circumstances.</p>
		<p>Social scientists have been interested in the American Dream for the profound ways in
			which it has shaped social behaviors, relationships, and policies in the US. The
			ideology of the American Dream tends to focus upon individual behavior and opportunity
			while downplaying the importance of structural factors in life outcomes. This narrow
			focus tends to undermine support for policies aimed at alleviating race and class
			injustice. It has also been linked to overinflated and unrealistic expectations of
			upward mobility. This, according to some sociologists, creates strain for some social
			groups and increases the likelihood that people will turn to illegitimate means (e.g.
			crime) of achieving the cultural goal of material success.</p>
		<p>In this exercise, we will examine whether people still believe in the American Dream near
			the close of the 20th century, and whether their experiences of upward mobility are
			consistent with this ideology.</p>

		<p>Examples of research questions about the American Dream:</p>

		<ul>
			<li>Do attitudes about the American Dream vary by age, sex, race, or class?</li>
			<li>What are the social and cultural consequences of a widespread belief in upward
				mobility?</li>
			<li>How does one's attitude about the American Dream affect one's support for social
				policies?</li>
			<li>How do different demographic factors affect one's ability to achieve upward mobility
				(a key component of the American Dream)?</li>
			<li>How do economic conditions affect one's attitude about the American Dream?</li>
			<li>Has the definition of the American dream changed over time?</li>
		</ul>
	</section>

	<section id="a02">
		<title>Dataset</title>
		<p>This exercise will use the <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR06820">1996 ABC News
				Listening to America Poll</a>.This special topic poll, conducted April 30 to May 6,
			1996, is part of a continuing series of monthly surveys that solicit public opinion on
			the presidency and on a range of other political and social issues. This poll sought
			Americans' views on the most important problems facing the United States, their local
			communities and their own families. Respondents rated the public schools, crime, and
			drug problems at the national and local levels, their level of optimism about their own
			future and that of the country, and the reasons they felt that way. Respondents were
			asked whether they were better off financially than their parents were at their age,
			whether they expected their own children to be better off financially than they were,
			and whether the American Dream was still possible for most people. Respondents then
			compared their expectations about life to their actual experiences in areas such as
			employment, health care benefits, retirement savings, and leisure time. Additional
			topics covered immigration policy and the extent to which respondents trusted the
			federal, state, and local governments. Demographic variables included respondents' sex,
			age, race, education level, marital status, household income, political party
			affiliation, political philosophy, voter registration and participation history, labor
			union membership, the presence of children in the household, whether these children
			attended a public school, and the employment status of respondents and their
			spouses.</p>

		<p>List of variables used:</p>
		<ul>
			<li>American Dream is still possible for most people (Q9)</li>
			<li>If you work hard, you will get ahead (Q19B)</li>
			<li>Political party affiliation (Q901)</li>
			<li>Education level (Q909)</li>
			<li>Year of Birth (Q910)</li>
			<li>Race (Q918)</li>
			<li>Sex (Q921)</li>
			<li>Age (AGERECODE)</li>
			<li>Better off financially than parents were (Q10)</li>
			<li>Children will be better off than you (Q11)</li>
			<li>Had to work harder than expected (Q12)</li>
			<li>More job opportunities than expected (Q16)</li>
		</ul>
	</section>

	<section id="a03">
		<title>Application</title>
		<p>Our objective is to examine whether people still believe in the American Dream near the
			close of the 20th century, and whether their experiences of upward mobility are
			consistent with this ideology.</p>

		<p>
			<strong>Do people still believe in the American Dream?</strong>
		</p>
		<p>This dataset contains two different measures of attitudes about the American Dream. The
			first one (Q9) asks respondents whether they think that "the American Dream is still
			possible for most people." In the second one (Q19B), they are asked whether they believe
			that "if you work hard, you will get ahead." Let us take a look at the <sda-link
				url="/cgi-bin/bob-ia/olcsda?resc_id=15657&amp;ddlg=americandream">frequency
				distributions</sda-link> of these two variables. What percentage of respondents said
			that the American Dream is still possible for most people? What percentage agreed that
			"if you work hard, you will get ahead?"</p>
		<p>To explore this further, we created a series of crosstabs of Q9 ("the American Dream is
			still possible for most people"), with race (Q918), sex (Q921), age (AGERECODE) and
			political party affiliation (Q901) respectively. Note that the variable Q918, "Race",
			contains six categories: "White," "Black," "White Hispanic," "Black Hispanic," "Hispanic
			(no race given)" and "Other race." For ease of analysis, we collapsed the categories
			from six to four: "White," "Black," "Hispanic" and "Other." The recoded variable is
			called "RACE."</p>
		<p>Please study the results of the <sda-link
				url="/cgi-bin/bob-ia/olcsda?resc_id=15658&amp;ddlg=americandream"
				>crosstabs</sda-link>. In the first table, what percentage of Hispanics expressed
			support for the idea that the American Dream is still possible for most people? How does
			this compare to other racial groups? Scroll down to look at the results of the crosstab
			of Q9 and sex. Were men or women more likely to say that the American Dream is still
			possible? Turning your attention to the crosstab of Q9 and AGERECODE, are there
			noticeable differences between the age groups in the sample? Which age group was most
			likely to say that the American Dream is still possible? Finally, let us take a look at
			the influence of political party affiliation. What percentage of Republican respondents
			indicated that the American Dream is not possible anymore? What percentage of Democrats
			felt the same way?</p>
		<p>We then repeated the previous analyses, <sda-link
				url="/cgi-bin/bob-ia/olcsda?resc_id=15659&amp;ddlg=americandream">this time using
				Q19B</sda-link> ("if you work hard, you will get ahead") as a measure of
			respondents' attitudes toward the American Dream. What percentage of Black respondents
			disagreed with the statement? Were men or women more likely to agree that if one works
			hard, one can get ahead? What percentage of respondents over age 60 agreed? Which
			political group expressed the highest level of disagreement with the statement?</p>

		<p>
			<strong>To what extent does the ideal of the American Dream match the reality of
				people's experiences of upward mobility?</strong>
		</p>
		<p>Let us now explore potential measures of social mobility. Respondents were asked, "Are
			you better off financially than your parents were at your age?" (Q10). The <sda-link
				url="/cgi-bin/bob-ia/olcsda?resc_id=15660&amp;ddlg=americandream">crosstab of Q10
				and AGERECODE</sda-link> shows how different age groups in the sample answered this
			question. What percentage of respondents over age 60 said they were better off
			financially than their parents? Which age group was most likely to say that they are not
			better off financially?</p>
		<p>We might also consider a more objective measure of social mobility by examining
			educational attainment. Educational attainment is often used as a measure of social
			mobility and class because it is closely related to occupation and income. In this
			dataset, the variable measuring education level is Q909. It contains 6 categories: "8th
			grade or less"; "some high school"; "graduated high school"; "some college"; "graduated
			college"; and "post-graduate." We recoded this variable into four categories: "less than
			high school diploma"; "graduated high school"; "some college"; "graduated college or
			more." The new variable is called <sda-link
				url="/cgi-bin/bob-ia/olcsda?resc_id=15661&amp;ddlg=americandream"
				>"EDUCATION."</sda-link></p>
		<p>We also used a slightly different variable for age in the next set of analyses because
			many of the youngest respondents in the sample's youngest age group are too young to
			have completed college or a post-graduate degree. These respondents may also be too
			young to have had many job opportunities or work experience. Therefore we chose to
			exclude those younger than age 25 from the next four analyses. To create the variable
				<sda-link url="/cgi-bin/bob-ia/olcsda?resc_id=15662&amp;ddlg=americandream"
				>"AGEGROUPS"</sda-link>, we first subtracted the respondent's year of birth (Q910)
			from 1996 to compute age and then we created the categories similar to the groupings in
			age group, except those under age 25, resulting in the following age groups: 25-30;
			31-44; 45-60; and over 60.</p>
		<p>We created a crosstab with EDUCATION and AGEGROUPS. Now please look at the results of the
				<sda-link url="/cgi-bin/bob-ia/olcsda?resc_id=15663&amp;ddlg=americandream"
				>crosstab</sda-link>. What percentage of 31-44 yr-olds in the sample graduated high
			school, but did not take at least some college courses? Is this significantly different
			from other age groups? Which age group is most likely to have graduated college or more?
			Overall, would you say that the education level appears to have increased, decreased, or
			remained the same from one generation to the next?</p>
		<p>In addition respondents were asked whether they "had to work harder than expected" (Q12).
			Please examine the results of the <sda-link
				url="/cgi-bin/bob-ia/olcsda?resc_id=15664&amp;ddlg=americandream">crosstab of Q12
				and AGEGROUPS</sda-link>. What percentage of 25-30 year-olds indicated that they had
			to work harder than they expected? How does this compare with respondents in the other
			age groups?</p>
		<p>Did respondents have more job opportunities than they expected (Q16)? According to the
			results of the <sda-link
				url="/cgi-bin/bob-ia/olcsda?resc_id=15665&amp;ddlg=americandream">crosstab of Q16
				and AGEGROUPS</sda-link>, what percentage of respondents older than 60 indicated
			that they had more job opportunities than they expected? How does this compare with
			respondents in other age groups? Can you think of a possible reason older respondents
			have had such a different job experience?</p>
		<p>To see whether respondents were hopeful about their children's future, we used variable
			Q11 (Do you think that your children will be better off than you?) in a <sda-link
				url="/cgi-bin/bob-ia/olcsda?resc_id=15666&amp;ddlg=americandream"
				>crosstab</sda-link> with AGERECODE. Which age group was most likely to indicate
			that they thought their children would be better off? Are there significant differences
			between the groups? Do the results surprise you in light of earlier analyses?</p>
	</section>

	<section id="a04">
		<title>Interpretation &amp; Summary</title>

		<questions>
			<p>What percentage of respondents said that the American Dream is still possible for
				most people? What percentage agreed that "if you work hard, you will get ahead?"</p>

			<p>What percentage of Hispanics expressed support for the idea that the American Dream
				is still possible for most people? How does this compare to other racial groups?
				Were men or women more likely to say that the American Dream is still possible? Are
				there significant differences between the age groups in the sample? Which age group
				was most likely to say that the American Dream is still possible? Finally, what
				percentage of Republican respondents indicated that the American Dream is not
				possible anymore? What percentage of Democrats felt the same way?</p>

			<p>What percentage of Black respondents disagreed that if one works hard, one can get
				ahead? Were men or women more likely to agree? What percentage of respondents older
				than 60 agreed? Which political group expressed the highest level of disagreement
				with the statement?</p>

			<p>What percentage of respondents over age 60 said they were better off financially than
				their parents? Which age group was most likely to say that they are not better off
				financially?</p>

			<p>What percentage of 31-44 yr-olds in the sample graduated high school, but did not
				take at least some college courses? Is this significantly different from other age
				groups? Which age group is most likely to have graduated college or more? Overall,
				would you say that the education level appears to have increased, decreased, or
				remained the same from one generation to the next?</p>

			<p>What percentage of 25-30 year-olds indicated that they had to work harder than they
				expected? How does this compare with respondents in the other age groups?</p>

			<p>What percentage of respondents over 60 years old indicated that they had more job
				opportunities than they expected? How does this compare with respondents in other
				age groups? Can you think of a possible reason older respondents have had such a
				different job experience?</p>

			<p>Which age group was most likely to indicate that they thought their children would be
				better off? Are there significant differences between the groups? Do the results
				surprise you in light of earlier analyses?</p>
		</questions>

		<answers>
			<p>Things to think about in interpreting the results:</p>
			<p>The numbers in each cell of the crosstabulation tables show the percentage of the
				people who fall into the overlapping categories, followed by the actual number of
				people that represents in this sample. The coloring in the tables demonstrates how
				the observed numbers in each cell compares to the expected number if there were no
				association between the two variables. The accompanying bar charts display the
				patterns visually as well.</p>
			<p>Weights (mathematical formulas) are often used to adjust the sample proportions,
				usually by race, sex, or age, to more closely match those of the general population.
				The analyses in this guide used weights to increase the generalizability of the
				findings, so the resulting tables are meant to reflect the relationships we would
				expect to see in the general population.</p>
			<p>Reading the results:</p>
			<ul>
			<li>Almost three quarters (73.1%) of respondents said that the American Dream is still
				possible for most people, and two thirds (66.5%) believe that "if you work hard, you
				will get ahead."</li>
			<li>Of all the racial groups in the sample, Hispanics were the least likely to support
				the idea that the American Dream is still possible for most people (64.2% agreed,
				compared to a little over 70% agreement among respondents in other racial groups).
				Similarly, 77.5% of men, but only 69.1% of women indicated that they still believe
				in the American Dream. There were no significant generational differences, with
				18-30 year-olds being only very slightly more likely than other age groups to agree
				that the American Dream is still possible (74.7% vs. 72.2%). However political party
				affiliation does appear to be associated with respondents' attitudes about the
				American Dream, with Democrats being almost twice as likely as Republicans to say
				that the American Dream is no longer possible: 32.8% vs. 17.9%.</li>
			<li>40.9% of Black respondents indicated that they disagreed that "if you work hard, you
				will get ahead". 70.3% of men, and 63% of women agreed with the statement, as did
				fully three quarters of respondents older than 60 years of age. Independents were
				most likely to disagree (40.4%--twice as many as Republicans: 21.4%).</li>
			<li>85.3% of respondents over age 60 said they were better off financially than their
				parents were at their age. On the other hand, with 37.5%, 31-44 yr-olds were most
				likely to indicate that they are not.</li>
			<li>35.4% of 31-44 yr-olds graduated high school without taking at least some college
				courses, which is not significantly different from other age groups. Respondents
				25-30 years old were the most likely to have graduated college (37.9%). Overall,
				there are some indicators that suggest that younger generations are more educated
				noting the low percentage of respondents under age 45 who did not finish high
				school. Additionally, respondents aged 31-44 yr-olds were almost twice as likely to
				graduate from college (32.3%) compared to respondents over 60 years old (16.4%
				graduated college, and 4% had a post-graduate degree).</li>
			<li>57.9% of the 25-30 yr-olds answered that they had to work harder than they expected.
				This was very similar to the 45-60 year olds (57.5%) whereas 31-44 years old had a
				slightly higher percent answering they had to work harder than expected (60.6%). The
				oldest respondents had a notably lower percentage agreeing with this sentiment.</li>
			<li>In keeping with the results from the previous analysis, 62.8% of respondents in the
				oldest age group said that they had more job opportunities than they expected while
				the majority of respondents from each of the other age groups reported fewer job
				opportunities than expected. This may be because the oldest respondents were born
				before or during the Great Depression, but found plentiful work during the post-WWII
				era, when the US economy was booming.</li>
			<li>With 65.4%, 45-60 yr-olds were slightly more likely to indicate that they thought
				their children would be better off than them, compared to other age groups (ranging
				from 59.7% to 63.8%). This indicates that the younger respondents have a similar
				level of optimism, if not slightly higher than the oldest respondents despite the
				younger respondents' belief that they had to work harder than expected and have had
				fewer job opportunities. This optimism about the future may be an indication of the
				strength of their faith in the American Dream even in the face of relative
				adversity.</li>
			</ul>

			<p>
				<strong>Summary</strong>
			</p>

			<p>The goal of this exercise was to compare people's attitudes about the American Dream
				with their experiences of upward mobility at the turn of the 21st century. Taken
				together, the results show that belief in the American Dream is influenced, quite
				significantly in some cases, by race, sex, age and political affiliation.
				Interestingly, the American Dream ideology appears enduringly strong, even though it
				might be incongruous with the realities of respondents' experiences of upward
				mobility (or lack thereof). Indeed, while it appears that the education level has
				increased over the past 50 years, these gains are not reflected in easier access to
				employment for younger generations.</p>
			<p>Further research might explore this paradox, perhaps by examining more closely the
				influence of demographic characteristics such as race or sex on one's ability to
				achieve upward mobility.</p>
		</answers>
	</section>

	<section id="a05">
		<title>Bibliography</title>
		<id>354</id>
	</section>

</template>
